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Kirjoittaja Viesti
 Viestin otsikko: GER 1.Bundesliga, vko 15.
ViestiLähetetty: 13.04.2007, 11:29 
Status: JäsenLiittynyt: 05.05.2004, 18:39Viestit: 5609Paikkakunta: Helsinki
Pisteitä: 7
GER 1.Bundesliga, vko 15.

Pistän välillä tänne yleiselle puolelle näitä kontaktin arvioita, näkemyksiä ja tärkeitä kp-tietoja, joita Clubin puolella usein käytetään vertailussa. Club Ylikertoimessa on paljon hyviä vihjeitä joita vain ahkerat kirjoittajat pääsevät lukemaan. Jos joku haluaa päästä mukaan Club Ylikertoimeen, niin ei muuta kuin ahkeroimaan omia vihjeitä ja ilmoitus innokkuudesta moderaattoreille.

Kontaktin tietoja ->

Borussia Mönchengladbach Hamburger SV 35 29 36 o/u 2,5 45 55
1. FC Nürnberg Alemannia Aachen 57 26 17 o/u 2,5 54 46
VfB Stuttgart Hannover 96 56 26 18 o/u 2,5 50 50
1. FSV Mainz 05 Schalke 04 26 27 47 o/u 2,5 49 51
Arminia Bielefeld Eintracht Frankfurt 40 29 31 o/u 2,5 50 50
VfL Bochum Hertha BSC 43 28 29 o/u 2,5 50 50
Energie Cottbus VfL Wolfsburg 40 33 27 o/u 2,5 44 56
Bayern München Bayer Leverkusen 57 27 16 o/u 2,5 47 53
Borussia Dortmund Werder Bremen 25 28 47 o/u 2,5 50 50

Borussia Mönchengladbach Hamburger SV 35 29 36 o/u 2,5 45 55
Gladbach has gone without scoring in 12 of their last 20 games. They will find it very hard to break down a defensive side like HSV, who have drawn 14/28 matches this season and are not too unhappy with a draw here either. The fact that BM must risk everything to win only plays into Hamburgs hands. Both are in relegation bother, but HSV are the superior side and about 4/1 shots to be relegated, where as Gladbach should be 1/12 for the drop. The 12/5s on the draw look far out. The 1.85 on the under has been long gone and Betfair, who are more than 5/4 on the over now, are worth a small punt (especially if U got on the 1.85 under).

1. FC Nürnberg Alemannia Aachen 57 26 17 o/u 2,5 54 46
FCN by far the superior team and very strong at home. Unlucky last weekend to lose in Bremen. They do however have major line-up problems. 3 key players will definately be missing through injury at this crucial stage of the season. The offense will be depleated by the absence of crafty Vittek, Gresko's passing abilities in midfield will also be sorely missed and defence is clearly weakened by Reinhardts absence. Coach Meyer is trying to assure that they have enough talent in the reserves to be able to clinch the 5th spot off Leverkusen, which would give this outfit a deserved place in the UEFAcup. I doubt it very much. AA showed their worst side at Easter (home loss 1-4 to Dortmund), which just showed their how bad they really are, but on occasion (especially away to better teams) they come up with suprisingly good performances. 2 losses on the trot have brought them back to relegation bother, so it's time for one of those better days. Can they use this opportunity to cash in om FCNs injury problems??

VfB Stuttgart Hannover 96 56 26 18 o/u 2,5 50 50
VfB showed great improvement in Hamburg, but result was a bit flattering. They are severly depleated here, missing their best striker Gomez (again) up front, Hitzlsperger (KN 3.40) in midfield and Magnin (KN 3.18) in defence. Luckyly out of form H96 are also without 2 players. Fahrenhorst is the one they miss sorely in defence and Lala is also suspended from midfield. A couple of weeks ago VfB would've had a clear advantage in motivation, but the 2 losses have brought H96 very much closer to relegation, so they must wake up to the battle now. H96 have travelled well during this campaign.

1. FSV Mainz 05 Schalke 04 26 27 47 o/u 2,5 49 51
When one looks at Schalkes missing list, it's discourageing with Varela, Larsen and Lövenkrands on it, but if U look at returnees, Schalke's situation is a lot rosier. The all important Lincoln returns from a 5 game suspension and their captain Ernst joins him midfield after his suspension. Last week Asamoah made his 1st start of the season, played excellently and celebrated his return with a goal. Mainz on the other hand had a hell of start to the year, but hasn't recovered from the loss of Soto (still missing) and back in the relegation zone (after 3 straight losses) and now even money (from as high as 6/1) to go down. Mainz showed glimpses of returning to form at Wolfsburg, but managed to throw 3 points away. They need to be at their best to be able to stop the title march of Schalke. Suprisingly Unibet are laying Schalke above Betfair at 6/5.

Arminia Bielefeld Eintracht Frankfurt 40 29 31 o/u 2,5 50 50
A really tough relegation battle with home strong (strongest home team of the bottom half) AB trying to climb out of the relegation zone at the cost of 15. placed EF, who rarely win away, but they have managed 8 draws in their 14 road games and will looking to secure at least that here. Thay are still missing 2 of their 3 keepers, including the excellent 1st choice Markus Pröll, but Nikolov has done well between the posts (except last time out). Perhaps that bad performance was due to him playing despite injury. He should be in better shape now. EF are welcoming back both Kyrgiakos (from suspension) and Chris (from back problems) into their regular starting line-up. The market was 37% on AB beating Dortmund in Bielefelds last home game, but are now 42%. For me EF is atleast as good as BVB on the road.

VfL Bochum Hertha BSC 43 28 29 o/u 2,5 50 50
Bochum have climbed from firm odds on favorites for the drop to 3/1 shots to be relegated, thanks to 3 wins in their last 4 games. Last weekend they were excellent at local rivals Leverkusen, strolling to a 1-4 victory. They do however not have the class of Hertha, who in total reversal have become involved in relegation battle, despite looking likely to clinch that 5th spot in the league, which would've given them a place in Europe. The home draw last weekend against Bielefeld cost the trainer his job. Heine is making his debut at the helm here. He's however handicapped by defender Simunic's suspension, as the defence is still sorely missing the injured Arne Friedrich. J Boatengs return to fitness is a plus. The market reacted heavily to news of the sacking, but has now returned towards the original figures. Poorly travelling Hertha are still slightly over estimated here against seasoned relegation battlers, who are full of confidence and posess the BL top scorer Gekas as their ultimate weapon. VfL are also pretty much without line-up problems. Hertha have taken 2 points in their last 8 games and lost on their last trip to the Ruhr to the doomed Gladbach 3-1. Bochum is not a happy hunting ground for them historically either with 1 win and 14 losses out of 17 trips.

Energie Cottbus VfL Wolfsburg 40 33 27 o/u 2,5 44 56
EC did the impossible by snatching a vital away victory at Frankfurt despite missing 3 key defenders. 2 of them (McKenna & Mitreski) return from their suspension, but Mitreski might just lose his place to one of last weeks heros. In late February EC were as short as 8/11 for the drop, but are now 8th in the table and around 9/2 for that fate. They do have a tough program ahead, as they meet 4 of the top 5 teams (excluding Bremen) in their last 5 games. So 3 points here are vital for them. Wolfsburg are in 7th on level points and travel very poorly. They do win seldom but get enough draws though. A result that might just suite both here. Wolfsburg do get van der Leegte back here, but suffer much more by the loss of their best defender Madlungs (even 4 goals) suspension plus even more from the injury of their best sriker Klimovic, whose goal was crucial last week. He's ariel srtrength will be missed even more here, as EC very wulnerable in the air. Bokaye starts as a lone striker, but he's not nearly as big a threat as the spaniard. Wolfsburgs game will again hinge on Marcelinhos performance. He's scored 4 and assisted 5 goals in his 10 games since arriving to the Wolves in Jan. 9/4 on the draw (generally available) looks very lucrative. Laying Wolfsburg is the other option.

Bayern München Bayer Leverkusen 57 27 16 o/u 2,5 47 53
Both team missing their absolute key players. Bayern without their by far best player Schweinsteiger (knee), showed already on Wednesday (0-2 at home vs Milan) how toothless they are without him. Especially as Salihamizic has to drop into Sagnols role deeper down the right flank. Schweini is the only creative force in the team and without him bayern have to turn to route 1 football. Leverkusen are without their best striker Kiessling (suspended) and their best midfielder Schneider (suspended). Ramelov is also missing for the guests. Leverkusen might just get the better of Bayerns midfield (Lell, Ottl, van Bommel with Hargreaves tucked behind them, protecting the defence). Leverkusens Rolfes (Played for the national team last time), Barnetta, Barbarez and Athirson can atleast be more creative. Freier and Voronin upfront are no match to Makaay and Podolski, but those 2 are very dependent on good service. Bayern are also stronger at the back with all for defenders (Lahm, van Buyten, Lucio, Salihadzic) with the ability to go forward. That will decide the game. As long as those 4 can help their out of depth midfield, Bayern should be able to provide enough pressure to create chances. Bayern suffered more from the midweek. Both mentally and physically. They had big hopes of qualifying for the CL-semifinals, despite the fact that they were already far beyond their depth in this competition. Milan was the better team in both legs and did what was needed after the unlucky 2-2 draw at home. Leverkusen where in practice already out of the UEFAcup before Thu's trip to Osasuna. Therefore they rested several players for this clash. Juan didn't even take a place on the bench. Voronin and Athirson didn't come off it. Barnetta played only 42 min. Babic around 50. Barbarez 67 min. No one really played at a 100% level. They knew already at the beginning of the week, that this Sun match is the important one. The hosts might be desperate enough to risk Schweini on the bench and let him come in, if things are not going their way. Over a great lay here.

Borussia Dortmund Werder Bremen 25 28 47 o/u 2,5 50 50
Bremen suffered a great loss last weekend as their and Germanys best defender Mertesacker got injured against Nürnberg. He was operated on Tue and will be missing atleast for 4 weeks. To top that the defence is without injured Wome. However Thu proved to turn fortunes around for the best team in BL. Borowski returned from a 7 week lay off in great form and Klose found his scoring touch. His opening goal didn't seem to break his habbit of missing chances, but his 2nd clearly lifted the ghost. WB will come here with only attacking in mind. They can't do anything else as Pasanen clearly struggled on Thu and is no real replacement for world class Mertesacker. Dortmund defence will have huge problems in containing the Bremen offence, especially without injured Metzelder and Kehl. Dortmund shone last week at Aachen, but don't have the class to cause problems for a decent team. WB is far better than decent and on a mental high after everything clicked on Thu and they reached the UEFAcup semi final with a comfortable 4-1 win over Alkmaar. 4 starters (Diego, Naldo, Fritz, Hugo Almeida) from Bremen are one card away from suspension, but don't expect them to hold back, as their next game is at home vs Aachen and if they are gonna miss one of the last 5 games, that would be the one to miss. WB looking to avenge their perhaps worst performance of the year, a 1-3 home loss to BVB.
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 Viestin otsikko:
ViestiLähetetty: 13.04.2007, 14:15 
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Status: JäsenLiittynyt: 13.02.2003, 17:31Viestit: 923Paikkakunta: Jyväskylä
Pisteitä: 817
Kassa: +562.25 yks. Palautus%: 112.01% Panosten ka: 5.96 yks. Vetoja: 785
Cottbus-Wolfsburg 1 2,65 40% Pinny
Kummatkin tarvitsevat pisteitä. Ässän kontaktilta hyviä tietoja, Paras puolustaja neljällä maalilla poissa ja poissa on myös hyökkääjä Klimovic (6 maalia). Wolf ei vieraissa ole viihtynyt 2-5-7 10-17.
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 Viestin otsikko:
ViestiLähetetty: 14.04.2007, 09:11 
Status: JäsenLiittynyt: 18.03.2007, 15:35Viestit: 29
Pisteitä: 0
Bochum - Hertha 1 45% 2,35 Centrebet

Molemmille tärkeä peli, mutta Bochum on tällä hetkellä huomattavasti paremmassa iskussa.
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