Nottingham Forest- Cardiff City
Leeds United- Rotherham United
Bolton Wanderers- Birmingham City
I obviously expect goals in each and will personally be betting strongly, what you do is, as ever, entirely up to you, my reasons are as already outlined , these teams are already mentally lying on a beach somewhere, some players will be looking to impress and maybe earn a move elsewhere and as I said for the Empoli game on Thursday, this is the one day of the year when it will be acceptable to think of yourself and not the team as a whole. Clubs also look to entertain with nothing on the line and season tickets to sell and most want to send fans away with a positive mental memory for the summer, in other words, these are friendly games in all but name.
There is no need for me to add too much more, but Blackpool have already conceded close to 100 goals, we discussed and took goals in Huddersfield's match last weekend ...."This is pretty much a "friendly" with very little at stake, between two teams happier on the front foot and with a history of goals in h2h meetings, with the last two matches at the Galpharm producing ten and I see this very much following suit, with both teams already in holiday mood. Town played out a 4-4 draw here with Derby County last weekend and 61% of their games this season have gone "over" 2.5 goals with 36% producing four or more. Rovers have scored two or more goals in six of their last eight and have also conceded three goals twice in that sequence. Very hard to see either suddenly going into their shell and an early breakthrough could see any number of goals this afternoon at a time of year when games in this league with nothing on the line, can get a little "crazy". There were four goals there, it should have been more."
The Leeds -Rotherham game is a Yorkshire derby, but the Millers only earned survival on Tuesday, I know they were celebrating that and after a very tough few months under enormous pressure, it would only be natural to perhaps let things slide, hosts have conceded 14 in their last six. Forest are a very offensive minded team and have conceded two or more in 6 of their last 7. Nine of the last 10 h2h meetings between Bolton and City have gone "over" and this all feels pretty good.
Nottingham Forest- Cardiff City over 2.75 goals 2.01 asian line/Sportmarket.
Leeds United- Rotherham United over 2.75 goals 2.13-2.20 asian line/Sportmarket Pro.
Bolton Wanderers- Birmingham City over 2.75 goals 2.11 asian line/Sportmarket.
Blackpool- Huddersfield over 2.75 goals 2.02 asian line/Sportmarket.
I am also going to suggest two muliple bets....
all four to go "over" 2.5 goals @ circa 10.0.
and all four to go over 3.5 goals. I will suggest any 3/4 and all 4, that's five bets