Coupe De France Rennes vs Bourg
This is not Coupe de la Ligue, which we seem to have spent a lot of column inches talking about again this season, but the national cup competition and whilst traditionally this doesn't quite provide the high scoring encounters we see in the league cup, the four matches featuring Ligue 1 teams versus lower level opposition averaged 3.25 goals at this stage last season and we have two teams here absolutely full of goals at present. BEBP games have produced a L2 high 70 goals ( only three other teams are above 49) at 3.33 per game, which is 1.07 above the league average. My notes on their recent home game with Creteil , which they won 5-1 can be read below the "good luck" sign off. They have subsequently lost 3-0 away to Dijon and their last five starts have averaged 4.0 goals and there is no let up in those big goals numbers when BEBP are involved.
Rennes are coming off a 4-2 road win at Troyes on Saturday when my preview included .......... "Rennes are in upper mid table thanks to their fine road form which has seen them lose just once away from home and score in all 12 (league and cup) games this season, two or more in five. They have score twice in 42%, once in 100% and with Troyes given up just shy of two per game, it is easy to see value in circa 2.25 for the visitors to score two or more, especially as they get wide players Kamil Grosicki and Paul-Georges Ntep , who have 7 goals and 4 assists between them from just a combined 23 appearances, back today, but I think that we get better odds with the "over" goal line, as Rennes arrive without centre back Mexer ( missed 13 starts in two seasons, just two wins and two clean sheets in his absence) and left back Ludovic Baal (just one clean sheet in seven without him this season)."
Now they are back on home soil where their form is not quite as impressive, but they are going to face an opponent playing a far more attacking style than they usually see and that should suit and might even feel more like an away game in that aspect. Team spirit is good, heads didn't drop when going 2-0 down there and they celebrated wildly when equalising and I mean all ten outfield players, plus the bench and coaching staff, which I always like as a sign of unity, but they need not have worried, they scored four, it should have been 8-9.
They claim to be very interested in the competition and they made the final the season before last, head coach Philippe Montanier has rotated the backline and midfield a little , but if anything they look stronger in those areas if anything and Mexer (see above) returns, offensively they are unchanged and the forwards will surely be up for this and fancy their chances of scoring a few goals. Rennes are very keen to get a home win before they entertain Ajaccio at the weekend and I expect them to get an ultimately comfortable one, but with both teams on the scoresheet
Rennes : Costil, Sorin, Danzé, Mexer, Gnagnon, Armand, M'Bengue, Moreira, Fernandes, André, Poha, Salles Lamonge, Grosicki, Dembelé, Doucouré, Ntep, Boga, Sio
BEBP: Callamand, Fabri, Dimitriou, Alphonse, Nsimba, Perradin, Traore, Faivre, Lacour, Damour, Dembele, Berthomier, Boujedra, Begue, Boussaha, Sane, Ba, Ogier
Rennes -1.5 ball 2.33 asian line/Sportmarket.
over 3 goals 2.37 asian line/Sportmarket Pro, alternative would have to be the more widely quoted 2.75 goals line, or even the 3.5 goal option