Ligue 1: Bordeaux - PSG
PSG have not taken their foot off the gas following Champions League elimination, infact, they have gone into overdrive and have won their last five since bowing out to Manchester City by a 17-1 margin, putting six past Caen and scoring four against Rennes and GFCO. The first two are above Bordeaux in Ligue 1 and the third are fighting for survival and if PSG are up for it, they can run in 3-4 + goals against anyone in France and with the quality in their squad, they are not going to be suffering from the effects of a long campaign as much as other teams. There are a few records/targets up for grabs, they would open up a 30 point lead with a win this evening (also reach 30 wins for the season) and Zlatan will surely want to say his farewells on a high, he has 35 goals and five to reach 40 in his last two league games is certainly not impossible. He will probably feel a little "angry" that he only scored one of the four at the weekend , with Edinson Cavani notching a hat-trick and PSG will probably be looking to put the record staright and gain a little revenge for the 2-2 draw in Paris in the reverse fixture and a 3-2 defeat here in Bordeaux last season.
PSG have a lengthy injury list, they have been coping without Pastore, Van der Wiel and Verratti for some time, today Cavani and Blaise Matuidi are also sidelined. Without Matuidi in the squad, PSG have won 4/4 on the road ( GFCO, Troyes, Bastia and Nantes) with a 19-1 (!) goal difference, but he did sit out that 3-2 loss in this fixture last season. Cavani has played 25 minutes or less in 10 starts, PSG have won all ten, but again he also missed that defeat here last season, although I would say that had more to do with the fact that game was played just a couple of days after that gruelling Champions League tie at Stamford Bridge, which went to extra time and where Zlatan was dismissed early. Anyway, in those ten wins, PSG conceded in five and given the five goals that Bordeaux have managed in the last two meetings, I think the most likely outcome tonight is that a PSG win comes with both teams scoring.
The logical conclusion is that Zlatan will score the goals, he will play only three (maximum) more games and will want to end on a high, he has scored eight in the games that Cavani has missed, but that is actually way below average for him, as he has over 1.2 per game in Ligue 1 all season, so was four short ! It is Angel di Maria who has thrived without his fellow South American, he has scored 7/10 (five on the road), just 3 (all at home) from his other 17 appearances. There is 2.50, even some 2.75 about him scoring and that looks good value.
However, I will stick with PSG to win and both teams to score @ 2.80-3.0 general quote