Brazil Serie A: Internacional - Atletico Paranaense
Ahead of Inter's last home start I wrote ......
"I was/am interested in Internacional at home to Sport Recife in Brazil, the hosts are very strong at home, have not conceded in five Serie A starts and will definitely be looking for all three points after starting their home campaign with a scoreless draw against Chapecoense. They have won their next two home starts 3-0 after a 0-0 draw and given that they are already back on track with a subsequent 2-1 road win at Sao Paulo and face a tough trip to Santos at the weekend, it should be all about the win against a Sport team who have not won , or impressed in four league and cup starts, BUT odds seem on the money (-1 ball 1.98) and coming into this round of games, 10 of the 13 Serie A wins have been by just a single goal. Inter have not scored a goal inside 26 minutes in five home starts (four wins) and average time for their breakthrough goal is the 58th minute in that sequence, Sport held out for well over an hour here last season in a 2-1 loss and it is definitely an option to hold off and wait for a better quote if you are following this game "in running"."
They won that 1-0 via a goal just before the hour mark and followed up with a impressive win by the same scoreline at strong home side Santos at the weekend. They scored very late there, but it was fully deserved and probably one of the best road performances you will see in Brazil this season, they were very competitive, won virtually every 50/50, allowed Santos few chances and could have been three up before they took the lead. Inter are 8-2-0 at home to Atletico and three points this evening will take them top and put pressure on current joint-leader Gremio who face a tough trip to Palmeiras tomorrow.
AP's form tailed off after a strong start last season and they have won just 9 of their last 32 league starts and that is bottom 5-6 form , so their current position of 16th, even at this early stage, doesn't look particularly false. They host Santa Cruz this weekend and that match is far more win-able and they do not want to waste too much energy chasing a lost cause this evening , we can expect them to play with that game in mind and maybe even with some rotation, but they do have pretty much a fully fit squad to choose from. They lost 4-0 to Palmeiras on opening day, the only "top" team they have faced so far, they got very physical after falling behind and were fortunate to only get one man sent off, they were already three down at that stage and will need a lot to go their way this evening to get anything out of this.
Internacional -1 ball 2.16 asian line/Sportmarket
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