Jep, Öster on nousijajoukkueena vielä hieman hankala arvioida, joten tuo 18% saattaa olla yläkanttiin, ehkä n. 15% olisi lähempänä totuutta. Mutta kuitenkin pienen pelin paikka.
Aki: Sulla näyttää olevan yleistä tasoa korkeammat tasuriprosentit. Onkos tähän joku erityinen syy?
Allsvenskanissa tehdään ennemmin selvästi yli 2,5 maalia kuin jäädään sen alle, eli nuo yli 31 tasuriprosentit vaikuttavat aika isoilta. Muut erot prosenteissa johtunevat vaan joukkueiden voimalukujen eroavaisuuksista.
Tässä vielä bettingadvice.comin poiminnat kierrokselle, pelaan mm. nuo kaikki itsekin:(
http://www.bettingadvice.com/showPredic ... idMenu=179)
2003-04-13 Elfsborg - Örgryte by: Per
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Both teams lost in poor fashion, Elfsborg lacked speed and strength away to Hammarby (0-3) and Örgryte was torn apart by Helsingborg (1-4). For this game important defender Anegrund is back for Örgryte, striker Afonso is still out but more significantly there have been some changes in the midfield positions. New Brazilian Bosco will enter on the right flank and aggressive midfielder Martin Ulander will step into central midfield. This could very well shore up Örgryte’s midfield that was in poor shape last match. The team looks set to mend the mistakes from the last game and that is always a good thing. Elfsborg showed very little and the question is whether pre-season leading striker Drugge will replace Lars Nilsson, because Berglund will surely stay in the starting 11. Elfsborg lacked many things against Hammarby and now they will most likely miss defender Sjöberg who was injured against Hammarby and even if he plays he’s still not 100%. They could see a return of experienced striker Hans Berggren but he is still short of match fitness, but when he returns fully he will add some power to the light-weight Elfsborg attack. But that is for later on, in this game I don't think he will contribute and I see an away win.
Pick: A, Odds: 2.80, Stake: 5, Bookmaker: Betandwin
2003-04-13 Helsingborg - Öster by: Per
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This was also a no-bet game until I saw the odds, 9.00 on the away win!!! Helsingborg lost their main striker and their best player to injury for at least two months and they beat an injury-stricken Örgryte side that did not play well at all. Now they have t attend promoted Öster, who was in awe in the first half against Djurgården, got two silly goals against them and came out like a new team ion the second half. Djurgården dominated, sure, but Öster showed what they wanted and they challenged to champions. They could not match them but they stood up to them. That meant a huge boost for Öster and they are still underdogs, everyone still expects them to finish last and not have a chance against almost any team but his price is ridicoulus. I can’t say I give Öster a big chance of winning but come on, 9.00! This league is way more evenly balanced than that, especially with Alvaro Santos on the injury list.
Pick: A, Odds: 9.00, Stake: 2, Bookmaker: Eurobet
2003-04-13 Sundsvall - AIK by: Per
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This game was a no-bet for me, AIK performed well and was actually quite lucky to keep a clean sheet against Enköping but over the full 90 minutes AIK was the better team by far. Sundsvall’s first game away to Halmstad (loss 0-2) was a show of strength, the game was evenly matched, both goalies pulled off awesome saves and this reinforces my belief that both teams will be mid-table when we summon things up in October. However for this game Sundsvall has got some more injuries, midfielders Dotson and Cedergren are both out of this match, and they now miss three central midfielders and one striker. Sundsvall will by no means be harmless but the loss of Cedergren will hurt them. AIK did well in their first match and they are to be reckoned with over the season. I see them continue their strong performance, maybe they will be able to handle spring football for once?
Pick: A, Odds: 2.70, Stake: 5, Bookmaker: Centrebet
2003-04-14 Örebro - Hammarby by: Per
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This is the first game for Örebro on the new artificial pitch and it will be interesting to see what, if any difference that will bring. Örebro was not good in any aspect in their loss to Malmö. Hammarby performed very well and won 3-0 over Elfsborg, they impressed with fast and strong attacking throughout the game and are set to continue in the same way. The main thing with an artificial turf is that the field is more even and the play generally goes faster. Hence Örebro has practiced a fast and technical passing-style of play for this season. This could spell problems for Hamarby’s central defenders who are a little bit slow on their feet, right and left defenders are supposed to cover in that aspect. However the Hammarby midfield is very good and they should be able to cope with this fast-passing threat. Örebro did not look good in the first game and maybe they have not managed to peak their form just yet? Judging from the first round Hammarby is the team to bet on in this game, but also an OVER bet on goals as the turf should be fast, Hammarby’s defenders are a bit slow so both teams ought to score, and since Hammarby will win it’s three goals for the smallest margin, 1-2.
Pick: A, Odds: 3.20, Stake: 4, Bookmaker: Bet365