Tällasetkin kisat käynnistyy ens viikolla...
Meikäläisen enklannista pitäisi selvitä ihan peruskoulupohjalta, mutta jos ei nappaa, niin ainahan sitä voi hypätä suoraan loppuun ja poimia pelkät vihjeet...
There are two teams clearly above others. Norway and Belarus will fight for the place in real WC:s for next year. Others fight only for credit and staying in this level.
I doubt that Norway won´t get their best possible team, because starplayers Skröder and Trygg are still playing in Elitserien finals (also Simensen, Hansen, Lorentzen and Mathiesen in Elitserien qualification). And even if some of them will join the team, what is their motivation after long season.
Belarus has won game after game in this season. In Euro hockey challenge they played 12 games, winning 10 of them (10-1-1). The only loss was against Kazahkstan.
I´d say Belarus´s probability for winning this group is near 55%, Norway clearly over 40% (42-44) and others only 1-2%.
As I see it, here is only one clear favourite and that is home team Poland. They have played 12 games in EHC with results 3-4-5. Poland have played mostly against strong countries like Norway, Denmark and Belarus. Latest training match was against Hungary and Poland won 5-2.
Poland´s competitors are Italy and Slovenia and home team have won both of them in this season´s EHC matches in September.
My opinion is about 50% for Poland, and over 20% for Italy and Slovenia. Once again possibility for others is very minimal, Estonia might have 3-5% and other two under 1%.
Ja voittajavedot näin alkajaisiksi:
Winner Belarus 2.05 (centre) (6/10)
Winner Poland 2.30 (centre) (8/10)
If someone wants to make "sure" money, so Belarus for 2.05 and Norway for 2.10 (nordic). That´s about 1.037 for 98-99%...