NBA 9.3

[robitale]

Warriors vs Clippers UNDER 201

Ever since Shaun Livingston got an horrific season ending injury and Sam Cassell is out while nursing a pulled groin and strained abdomen, the Clippers have gone very quiet at the offensive end and turned on everything they have on defence - to give themselves a chance to win the games. The Clippers are averaging 95 points per game in this season, but have scored 75, 87 and 74 points in last 3 games playing without their 2 best point guards. That makes an average of 78,7 points over this 3 games (SEA, IND, SAS) stretch. At the same time they have shown some solid D allowing 77, 64 and 88 points making it an average of 76,3 points allowed. The reasons for low scoring games are simple and clear: coach Mike Dunleavy sr. has to play Daniel Ewing or Jason Hart at point. Those two both lack offensive skills and the Clippers just signed Jason Hart meaning he must still feel uncomfortable in offensive sets. LA-s current point guards also have hard times executing and passing the ball to their big guys, which takes some O away from Brand and Kaman as well.

The Warriors are averaging 105 points per game in this season and are well known as a Don Nelson team that likes to open the games. They have met offensive powerhouses lately and total score have been quite high. Then again teams that can and care about playing D have held them below 100 points (85 vs LAL, 90 vs LAC, 83 VS CHI). Those two teams met 2 weeks ago and the Clippers won 103-90 as they had Cassell and Livingston available in that game.

The Clippers cant allow this game to go open as they know they lack offensive power right now. Even against the defensive “drive-through” teams like Warriors, the Clips must slow the pace and keep this game tight to give them a chance to win the game and stay in play-off race. We see this game ending with less than 201 points and will take an under with medium stakes.

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[Maverick]

Phiadelphia -1 - LA Lakers +1 49-50% 2,17 Pinnacle (myyty 2 pistettä)

Lakers hävinnyt viimeiset neljä otteluaan ja nyt neljäs peli putkeen vieraissa, viimeisistä 13:sta ottelusta hävitty kymmenen. Philadelphia voittanut puolestaan viisi ottelua putkeen ja elättelee jos ei muuta niin ainakin teoreettisia pudotuspelihaaveita. Lakersin sairastuvalla alkaa olla tungosta ja edellisessä ottelussa joukkueella oli vain yhdeksän edustuskelpoista pelaajaa Bryantin ollessa pelikiellossa. Kobe Bryant, joka nukkuu valot päällä, ei sen takia, että pelkäisi pimeää vaan sen takia, että pimeä pelkää Kobe Bryantia. Kansa tykkää pelata Lakersia ja kun Bryant palaa supermotivoituneena pelikiellostaan saa kansa syyn pelata Lakersia. Ehkäpä Bryant pistää oman shownsa pystyyn, mutta saan Philadelphian todennäköisemmäksi voittajaksi ja Philadelphian kerroin hyvinkin mahdollisesti nousee illemmaksi.

[Murm]

Philadelphia 76ers - LA Lakers Under 193,5 57% Nordicbet 1,9 OA: 1,08 Panosta 4/10

Miami Heat - Minnesota Timberwolves Over 182 57% Nordicbet 1,9 OA: 1,08 Panosta 4/10

Atlanta Hawks - Memphis Grizzlies 55,5% Nordicbet 1,95 OA: 1,08 Panosta 5/10