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Kirjoittaja Viesti
 Viestin otsikko: NHL 29.12
ViestiLähetetty: 29.12.2003, 16:06 
Avatar
Status: JäsenLiittynyt: 18.02.2003, 15:58Viestit: 504Paikkakunta: Russia
Pisteitä: 5
NYI-NJ 36-25-39
WAS-BOS 37-25-38
CBJ-STL 33-22-45
CAR-BUF 40-25-35
TB-ANA 46-22-32
PIT-CHI 35-24-41
ATL-MON 45-22-33
FLO-TOR 31-22-47
DAL-PHI 40-25-35
CAL-MIN 42-24-34
COL-VAN 46-22-32
PHO-NYR 37-25-38
SJ-NAS 45-22-33
Pinnacle
nyi ml 2.42 1.2%
chi ml 1.962 0.6%
atl ml 1.952 1.18%
dal ml 1.98 0.53%
cal -0.5 2.27 0.62%
col -0.5 2.07 0.6%
was/bos u5.5 1.909 0.6%
car/buf o4.5 2.03 0.56%
tb/ana o4.5 1.952 0.68%
pit/chi u5 2.03 0.9%
atl/mon u5.5 1.84 0.8%
flo/tor u5 2.05 0.7%
cal-min o4.5 2.23 1.55%
col-van u5 2.17 1.42%

omat pelit(kassa) +20.34%
eilinen kierros -3.72%
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 Viestin otsikko:
ViestiLähetetty: 29.12.2003, 16:17 
Status: JäsenLiittynyt: 04.06.2003, 17:28Viestit: 566Paikkakunta: Oulu
Pisteitä: 0
Carolina - Buffalo

43 % 26 % 31 %
2.32 3.92 3.19

-1.5 3.31 1.43
-0.5 2.04 1.96
ML 1.73 2.38
+0.5 1.59 2.70
+1.5 1.22 5.46

Tampa Bay - Anaheim

46 % 25 % 29 %
2.16 4.04 3.46

-1.5 3.00 1.50
-0.5 1.93 2.08
ML 1.62 2.60
+0.5 1.53 2.90
+1.5 1.19 6.28

Florida - Toronto

31 % 25 % 44 %
3.23 3.96 2.28

-1.5 5.57 1.22
-0.5 2.73 1.58
ML 2.41 1.71
+0.5 1.98 2.02
+1.5 1.45 3.25

Dallas - Philadelphia

46 % 25 % 29 %
2.18 4.00 3.43

-1.5 3.04 1.49
-0.5 1.94 2.06
ML 1.64 2.57
+0.5 1.53 2.88
+1.5 1.19 6.19

NY Islanders - New Jersey

35 % 26 % 40 %
2.89 3.92 2.51

-1.5 4.62 1.28
-0.5 2.48 1.68
ML 2.15 1.87
+0.5 1.84 2.19
+1.5 1.37 3.72

Washington - Boston

41 % 25 % 34 %
2.43 3.96 2.98

-1.5 3.54 1.39
-0.5 2.13 1.88
ML 1.81 2.23
+0.5 1.64 2.55
+1.5 1.26 4.87

Pittsburgh - Chicago

41 % 26 % 33 %
2.42 3.92 3.01

-1.5 3.54 1.39
-0.5 2.13 1.89
ML 1.80 2.24
+0.5 1.64 2.57
+1.5 1.25 4.95

Atlanta - Montreal

39 % 26 % 35 %
2.53 3.92 2.85

-1.5 3.78 1.36
-0.5 2.21 1.82
ML 1.89 2.13
+0.5 1.69 2.45
+1.5 1.28 4.54

Phoenix - NY Rangers

38 % 26 % 36 %
2.60 3.88 2.80

-1.5 3.92 1.34
-0.5 2.26 1.79
ML 1.93 2.08
+0.5 1.71 2.41
+1.5 1.29 4.39

Columbus - St.Louis

28 % 25 % 47 %
3.58 4.00 2.12

-1.5 6.70 1.18
-0.5 2.98 1.50
ML 2.69 1.59
+0.5 2.11 1.90
+1.5 1.52 2.93

Colorado - Vancouver

44 % 25 % 31 %
2.29 3.96 3.23

-1.5 3.25 1.44
-0.5 2.02 1.98
ML 1.71 2.41
+0.5 1.58 2.73
+1.5 1.22 5.56

San Jose - Nashville

45 % 25 % 29 %
2.20 3.96 3.41

-1.5 3.08 1.48
-0.5 1.96 2.04
ML 1.65 2.55
+0.5 1.54 2.86
+1.5 1.20 6.12

Calgary - Minnesota

36 % 26 % 38 %
2.79 3.85 2.62

-1.5 4.37 1.30
-0.5 2.40 1.72
ML 2.06 1.94
+0.5 1.78 2.27
+1.5 1.34 3.98

Pelikohteet:

29.12.2003 NY Islanders New Jersey NHL 1 ML 2.42 47 % 2.21 % Pinnacle
29.12.2003 Washington Boston NHL 1 ML 2.00 55 % 2.62 % Pinnacle/Gamebookers
29.12.2003 Pittsburgh Chicago NHL 1 ML 1.96 56 % 2.34 % Pinnacle
29.12.2003 Florida Toronto NHL 1 ML 2.60 41 % 1.23 % Gamebookers
29.12.2003 Dallas Philadelphia NHL 1 ML 1.98 61 % 5.29 % Pinnacle
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 Viestin otsikko:
ViestiLähetetty: 29.12.2003, 18:19 
Status: JäsenLiittynyt: 13.06.2003, 21:18Viestit: 152Paikkakunta: Kuopio
Pisteitä: 0
Koodi:
                 -0,5   +0,5   +0,5   -0,5   ML 1   ML 2
NYI-NJ  32 23 45 2,79   1,56   2,01   1,99   2,40   1,71
Was-Bos 36 24 40 2,46   1,69   1,83   2,21   2,11   1,90
Car-Buf 45 23 32 1,99   2,01   1,56   2,80   1,71   2,41
TB-Ana  49 22 29 1,85   2,17   1,47   3,12   1,59   2,69
Clb-StL 31 22 47 2,92   1,52   2,07   1,93   2,51   1,66
Pit-Chi 43 23 34 2,09   1,92   1,61   2,63   1,79   2,26
Atl-Mon 39 24 37 2,26   1,79   1,72   2,40   1,94   2,06
Flo-Tor 29 22 49 3,12   1,47   2,17   1,85   2,69   1,59
Dal-Phi 41 24 35 2,16   1,86   1,66   2,52   1,86   2,17
Col-Van 38 25 37 2,30   1,77   1,74   2,35   1,98   2,02
Cal-Min 43 23 34 2,08   1,93   1,61   2,64   1,79   2,27
Pho-NYR 43 23 34 2,08   1,92   1,61   2,63   1,79   2,27
SJ-Nas  45 23 32 2,00   2,00   1,56   2,78   1,72   2,39

Total-arviot (65 min):
          U4,5   O4,5   U5,0   O5,0   U5,5   O5,5
NYI-NJ    2,16   1,86   1,79   2,27   1,57   2,76
Was-Bos   3,29   1,44   2,75   1,57   2,14   1,88
Car-Buf   1,76   2,31   1,47   3,14   1,36   3,77
TB-Ana    2,25   1,80   1,85   2,17   1,61   2,63
Clb-StL   2,42   1,71   1,99   2,01   1,70   2,43
Pit-Chi   2,60   1,63   2,15   1,87   1,79   2,26
Atl-Mon   2,71   1,59   2,24   1,81   1,85   2,18
Flo-Tor   2,37   1,73   1,96   2,05   1,68   2,48
Dal-Phi   2,14   1,88   1,77   2,31   1,56   2,80
Col-Van   2,40   1,71   1,98   2,02   1,69   2,45
Cal-Min   1,88   2,13   1,56   2,78   1,43   3,35
Pho-NYR   3,03   1,49   2,52   1,66   2,01   1,99
SJ-Nas    2,28   1,78   1,88   2,13   1,63   2,59



Pelikohteet (Pinnacle):
Was-Bos O5,5 2,0
Car -0,5 2,08 ja ML 1,763 ja U4,5 1,885
TB ML 1,641 ja O4,5 1,952
Flo-Tor U5,0 2,09
Dal -0,5 2,27 ja ML 1,943 ja O4,5 2,03
Cal -0,5 2,23 ja ML 1,935 ja O4,5 2,23
Van +0,5 1,855 ja ML 2,21 ja U5,0 2,17
Pho -0,5 2,23 ja ML 1,893 ja O5,5 2,2
Grand Salami O64,5 1,73/1,926

Seurantatilanne (29.12.2003):
PK=75 kpl TK=78,71 PP=105%
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 Viestin otsikko:
ViestiLähetetty: 29.12.2003, 18:36 
Status: JäsenLiittynyt: 15.04.2003, 17:32Viestit: 355Paikkakunta: Oulu
Pisteitä: 1
Koodi:
Tampa Bay - Anaheim          47 %   19 %   34 %
Washington - Boston          41 %   21 %   38 %
Columbus - St.Louis          29 %   27 %   45 %
Florida - Toronto            30 %   26 %   45 %
Carolina - Buffalo           35 %   24 %   42 %
NY Islanders - New Jersey    34 %   23 %   44 %
Pittsburgh - Chicago         40 %   21 %   39 %
Atlanta - Montreal           43 %   20 %   38 %
Dallas - Philadelphia        43 %   24 %   33 %
Calgary - Minnesota          37 %   23 %   40 %
Colorado - Vancouver         37 %   28 %   36 %
Phoenix - NY Rangers         36 %   25 %   39 %
San Jose - Nashville         43 %   25 %   32 %


Pistetään omat arviot ihan vertailun vuoksi...loukkaantumisia ei ole huomioitu
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 Viestin otsikko:
ViestiLähetetty: 29.12.2003, 20:10 
Status: JäsenLiittynyt: 02.09.2003, 17:28Viestit: 363
Pisteitä: 10
NYI-NJ 34-25-41
WAS-BOS 37-24-39
CAR-BUF 40-24-36
TB-ANA 49-23-28
CLB-ST_L 34-24-42
PIT-CHI 40-24-36
ATL-MON 43-25-32
FLO-TOR 30-24-46
DAL-PHI 39-26-35
COL-VAN 39-26-35
CAL-MIN 39-26-35
PHO-NYR 41-23-36
SJ-NAS 46-24-30

Pelit:
Buffalo 2.9 uni
Tampa Bay 2.15 nordic
Pittsburgh 2.6 nordic
Columbus 3.3 ladbrokes
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 Viestin otsikko:
ViestiLähetetty: 29.12.2003, 20:17 
Avatar
Status: JäsenLiittynyt: 16.01.2003, 18:53Viestit: 1455Paikkakunta: Iitti
Pisteitä: 671
Kassa: -110.62 yks. Palautus%: 94.55% Panosten ka: 2.43 yks. Vetoja: 833
Centrebetille Handicap kokeilu

Colorado - Vancouver 48% 24% 28% (2,07-4,22-3,58)

-0,5 Colorado kerroin 2,05 arvio 1,86 (54%)
2,42% kassasta (kelly/4)
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 Viestin otsikko:
ViestiLähetetty: 29.12.2003, 20:43 
Status: JäsenLiittynyt: 01.12.2003, 20:18Viestit: 106
Pisteitä: 0
NYI-New Jersey 35-23-42
Washington-Boston 38-23-39
Carolina-Buffalo 42-24-34
Tampa Bay-Anaheim 45-23-32
Columbus-St Louis 32-23-45
Pitsburgh-Chicago 37-24-39
Atlanta-Montreal 41-24-35
Florida-Toronto 32-23-45
Dallas-Philly 38-24-38
Colorado-Vancouver 42-24-34
Calgary-Minnesota 41-24-35
Phoenix-NYR 42-33-35
San Jose-Nashville 43-24-33

palautus:70.37/62
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 Viestin otsikko:
ViestiLähetetty: 29.12.2003, 23:34 
Status: JäsenLiittynyt: 28.02.2003, 17:25Viestit: 374
Pisteitä: 0
<pre>
Ny_Isles New_Jersey (+0,5) 52 48
ML 45 55
O/U 4,5 50 50
Washington Boston (-0,5) 47 53
ML 54 46
O/U 5,5 48 52
Carolina Buffalo (-0,5) 48 52
ML 55 45
O/U 4,5 40 60
Florida Toronto (-0,5) 49 51
ML 42 58
O/U 5 53 47
Tampa_Bay Anaheim (-0,5) 50 50
ML 57 43
O/U 4,5 52 48
Columbus St_Louis (+0,5) 47 53
ML 40 60
O/U 5 50 50
Pittsburgh Chicago (-0,5) 44 56
ML 51 49
O/U 5 58 42
Dallas Philadelphia (-0,5) 44 56
ML 51 49
O/U 4,5 46 54
Calgary Minnesota (-0,5) 45 55
ML 52 48
O/U 4,5 44 56
Phoenix NY_Rangers (-0,5) 45 55
ML 52 48
O/U 5,5 47 53
Colorado Vancouver (-0,5) 48 52
ML 55 45
O/U 5 50 50
San_Jose Nashville (-0,5) 52 48
ML 60 40
O/U 4,5 52 48
</pre>

Sekavat jutut ja pelikohteet:

Ny_Islanders - New_Jersey ML 1 45% 2.45 Carib Uk, 2.40 Gamebookers, Pinnacle

Everybody's ranting and raving Devils's revenge here, and it surely helps them to motivate to this
game, but enough's enough. Isles are not this much weaker than odds suggest. Not even without Yashin.

Washington - Boston ML 1 54% 2.00 Gamebookers

Capitals face the struggling Bruins and these teams seem to go opposite directions. Caps have improved
signically after coach Cassidy was replaced by Glenn Hanlon. Even they are outshot almost every night they actually
have been creating more quality scoring chances than their opponents. And them getting more powerplay
chances than their opponents is also a sign of improvement. It may sound a minor thing but if Caps
get 0.5/game more pp-chances than their opponent, they actually get ~0.25 goals advantage per game in the long run with
their recent pp/pk-rates. And that can actually be line between winning and losing in the long run. Somebody, maybe it was Pat Burns, has said that you have winning season if your team has
sum of your pp and pk over 100. Caps have now sum of ~105 and they are seem to get more pp-chances than pk, a think that didn't happen in the past.
Bruins on the other hand have difficult time with scoring lately and their attack seems quite toothless
(which isn't actually much of a surprise as you look their roster now. Not too much talent).
I think this game has sort of a "playoff feel" when both teams should be very motivated. Caps because
they were quite unlucky against Sabres in their latest contest hitting post 2 times and had one goal waved off before
Sabres made an emptynetter to seal the game. Bruins try hard to get back on track after winning only one of their 10
last games(and 4 of last 20). I was very tempted with under on this one too, but inconsitent play of goaltenders
Olaf Kolzig and Felix Potvin(probable starters in this game) made me skip on that one.

Carolina - Buffalo U4.5 60% 1,91 Sportingbet

Both teams play good defense and have trouble of scoring goals. And both teams should be motivated("4 point conference game") so expected total
of this game should be very low.

Tampa - Anaheim ML 2 43% 2.45 BetCris

These teams are bit like two of a kind. Both rely heavily on their overall team play and goaltending, because neither team has much of
scoring talent. Tampa lives by taking less penalties than their opponents as they are a bit of "losing team" on 5-on-5(this year -4, last year -16).
Ducks are capable of being disciplined so Tampa may not be able to use it's main strength, getting opponent to the penalty box. And Ducks actually
have bit more of a talent than Tampa and they are giving 2.45 on the moneyline so why not try them? Tampa hasn't show anything impressive lately
getting their third win in ten games against badly struggling Boston. And they can consider themselves being lucky on that game, scoring very rare 3 times
when shorthanded. On the other hand Ducks have not shown impressive either, but haven't been anything less than Tampa either.

Pittsburgh - Chicago O5.0 58% 1.90 Pinnacle

Actually a fair total line if both teams could have their #1 goalies between pipes. But both M-A Fleury(WJC) and Thibault(injury) are
absent from this game. Sebastian Caron and Leighton/Passmore(whoever plays this for Blackhawks) simply aren't as good goalies as teams
#1's are. In my opinion total line should be near 5.5 goals with these goalies.

Colorado - Vancouver U5.0 50% 2.15 BetCris

Big guns on both teams, but I think this game has "playoff feel". Both teams probably caring more about winning than scoring a lot of goals.
So I expect both to go with defense-first-attitude.
0

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 Viestin otsikko:
ViestiLähetetty: 30.12.2003, 00:54 
Status: JäsenLiittynyt: 07.04.2003, 20:52Viestit: 470
Pisteitä: 0
NJ @ NYI 45-23-32
BOS @ WSH 35-24-41
BUF @ CAR 33-24-43
ANA @ TB 34-24-42
STL @ CLB 48-23-29
CHI @ PIT 32-24-44
MTL @ ATL 34-24-42
TOR @ FLA 43-23-34
PHI @ DAL 38-24-38
VAN @ COL 31-24-45
MIN @ CGY 38-24-38
NYR @ PHO 34-24-42
NAS @ SJ 29-24-47
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 Viestin otsikko:
ViestiLähetetty: 30.12.2003, 01:55 
Status: JäsenLiittynyt: 01.12.2003, 20:18Viestit: 106
Pisteitä: 0
pelit:
NYI ml 2.37
Chicago ml 2.11
Atlanta -0.5 2.30
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Aloita uusi ketju Vastaa viestiin  [ 10 viestiä ] 

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