Obertsdorf:
Ljökelsöy - Pettersen 2 1.90 (nordic) (3/10)
Höllwarth - Uhrmann 2 2.00 (nordic) (3/10)
Romören - Lindström 2 2.20 (nordic) (1/10)
Pettersen has been very good in this hill so far. Trainings 119.5 and 126 metres and qualification 134. Ljökelsöy has jumped 107, 123 and 117 and so Pettersen has been clearly better in all rounds. Both have been in good form in competitions lately, but I suppose Pettersen to be about 55% favourite in this hill.
Uhrmann so far 131, 121.5 and 122.5, Höllwarth 124.5, 109 and 123. This has also been very even pair in this season, but results in this hill make Uhrmann a slight favourite (52-53%).
Romören 117.5, 126 and 115.5, Lindström 114.5, 119.5 and 120. Very even couple in my opinion. Romören might be a slight favourite, but not over 55%.
4-Hill tournament:
Kasai - Uhrmann 2 1.85 (expekt) (3/10)
Kiuru - Lindström 1 2.05 (expekt) (4/10)
Hannawald - Malysz 2 2.45 (expekt) (1/10)
Kasai hasn´t been good in this tournament in last years (23. 2003 and 31. 2002) compared to Uhrmann (18. 2003 and 22. 2002). Uhrmann has also been better in all jumps in Oberstdorf so far, so I don´t see any reason why Kasai should win Uhrmann this year...
Kiuru is in great form right now. Lindström has good and bad days and so I believe Kiuru has better chances (near to 55%) in total points.
Hannawald isn´t that good right now.
One more for Ober...
Kofler - Ingebrigtsen - Mechler 1 2.30 (expekt) (1/10)
Kofler has been best of these three in jumps so far and he also seems to be in best form so I can give about 45% for him in this trio.
I must also bet for someone to win whole tournament... My favourite is of course Ahonen (what else can you expect...
) but I think that also Ljökelsöy, Malysz and Pettersen have good possibilities.
So I put small bets for all these guys, Ljökelsöy 7.00 (nordic), Malysz 7.75 (expekt) and Pettersen 12.50 (expekt).
PS. If you want a little surewin, so Höllwarth gets 2.05 against Uhrmann (only Ober) in expekt.