MLB 2.4.

[MarkusM]

<TABLE BORDER="1"><TR><TH>Pvm</TH><TH>Peli</TH><TH>Joukkue1</TH><TH>Joukkue2</TH><TH>Tn1</TH><TH>Tn2</TH><TH>Kerroin1</TH><TH>Kerroin2</TH><TH>OA1</TH><TH>OA2</TH><TH>-</TH><TH>-</TH></TR><TR><TD>02.04.2007</TD><TD>ML</TD><TD>Arizona(Brandon Webb)</TD><TD>Colorado(Aaron Cook)</TD><TD>51</TD><TD>49</TD><TD>1,88</TD><TD>2,06</TD><TD>0,96</TD><TD>1,01</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD></TR><TR><TD>02.04.2007</TD><TD>Total</TD><TD>Over ARI @ COL 9,5</TD><TD>Under ARI @ COL 9,5</TD><TD>55,7</TD><TD>44,3</TD><TD>1,99</TD><TD>1,92</TD><TH>1,11</TH><TD>0,85</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD></TR><TR><TD>02.04.2007</TD><TD>ML</TD><TD>Atlanta(John Smoltz)</TD><TD>Philadelphia(Brett Myers)</TD><TD>49</TD><TD>51</TD><TD>2,01</TD><TD>1,92</TD><TD>0,98</TD><TD>0,98</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD></TR><TR><TD>02.04.2007</TD><TD>Total</TD><TD>Over ATL @ PHI 9</TD><TD>Under ATL @ PHI 9</TD><TD>49</TD><TD>51</TD><TD>1,99</TD><TD>1,92</TD><TD>0,98</TD><TD>0,98</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD></TR><TR><TD>02.04.2007</TD><TD>ML</TD><TD>Baltimore(Erik Bedard)</TD><TD>Minnesota(Johan Santana)</TD><TD>35</TD><TD>65</TD><TD>2,91</TD><TD>1,48</TD><TD>1,02</TD><TD>0,96</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD></TR><TR><TD>02.04.2007</TD><TD>Total</TD><TD>Over BAL @ MIN 7,5</TD><TD>Under BAL @ MIN 7,5</TD><TD>50,6</TD><TD>49,4</TD><TD>2,09</TD><TD>1,84</TD><TH>1,06</TH><TD>0,91</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD></TR><TR><TD>02.04.2007</TD><TD>ML</TD><TD>Boston(Curt Schilling)</TD><TD>Kansas City(Gil Meche)</TD><TD>60</TD><TD>40</TD><TD>1,64</TD><TD>2,48</TD><TD>0,98</TD><TD>0,99</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD></TR><TR><TD>02.04.2007</TD><TD>Total</TD><TD>Over BOS @ KC 9,5</TD><TD>Under BOS @ KC 9,5</TD><TD>54,4</TD><TD>45,6</TD><TD>1,93</TD><TD>1,97</TD><TH>1,05</TH><TD>0,9</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD></TR><TR><TD>02.04.2007</TD><TD>ML</TD><TD>Chicago Cubs(Carlos Zambrano)</TD><TD>Cincinnati(Aaron Harang)</TD><TD>51</TD><TD>49</TD><TD>1,92</TD><TD>2,01</TD><TD>0,98</TD><TD>0,98</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD></TR><TR><TD>02.04.2007</TD><TD>Total</TD><TD>Over CHC @ CIN 9</TD><TD>Under CHC @ CIN 9</TD><TD>47,2</TD><TD>52,8</TD><TD>2,07</TD><TD>1,85</TD><TD>0,98</TD><TD>0,98</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD></TR><TR><TD>02.04.2007</TD><TD>ML</TD><TD>Cleveland(C.C. Sabathia)</TD><TD>Chicago Sox(Jose Contreras)</TD><TD>52</TD><TD>48</TD><TD>2,11</TD><TD>1,84</TD><TH>1,1</TH><TD>0,88</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD></TR><TR><TD>02.04.2007</TD><TD>Total</TD><TD>Over CLE @ CHW 9,5</TD><TD>Under CLE @ CHW 9,5</TD><TD>51,7</TD><TD>48,3</TD><TD>2,02</TD><TD>1,89</TD><TH>1,04</TH><TD>0,91</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD></TR><TR><TD>02.04.2007</TD><TD>ML</TD><TD>Florida(Dontrelle Willis)</TD><TD>Washington(John Patterson)</TD><TD>50</TD><TD>50</TD><TD>1,82</TD><TD>2,14</TD><TD>0,91</TD><TH>1,07</TH><TD>Pinnacle</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD></TR><TR><TD>02.04.2007</TD><TD>Total</TD><TD>Over FLA @ WAS 8</TD><TD>Under FLA @ WAS 8</TD><TD>51,5</TD><TD>48,5</TD><TD>1,95</TD><TD>1,95</TD><TD>1</TD><TD>0,95</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD></TR><TR><TD>02.04.2007</TD><TD>ML</TD><TD>Los Angeles(Derek Lowe)</TD><TD>Milwaukee(Ben Sheets)</TD><TD>43</TD><TD>57</TD><TD>2,1</TD><TD>1,85</TD><TD>0,9</TD><TH>1,05</TH><TD>Pinnacle</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD></TR><TR><TD>02.04.2007</TD><TD>Total</TD><TD>Over LAD @ MIL 8</TD><TD>Under LAD @ MIL 8</TD><TD>50,2</TD><TD>49,8</TD><TD>1,9</TD><TD>2,01</TD><TD>0,95</TD><TD>1</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD></TR><TR><TD>02.04.2007</TD><TD>ML</TD><TD>Oakland(Dan Haren)</TD><TD>Seattle(Felix Hernandez)</TD><TD>49</TD><TD>51</TD><TD>1,98</TD><TD>1,94</TD><TD>0,97</TD><TD>0,99</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD></TR><TR><TD>02.04.2007</TD><TD>Total</TD><TD>Over OAK @ SEA 8,5</TD><TD>Under OAK @ SEA 8,5</TD><TD>45,5</TD><TD>54,5</TD><TD>1,96</TD><TD>1,94</TD><TD>0,89</TD><TH>1,06</TH><TD>Pinnacle</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD></TR><TR><TD>02.04.2007</TD><TD>ML</TD><TD>Pittsburgh(Zach Duke)</TD><TD>Houston(Roy Oswalt)</TD><TD>33</TD><TD>67</TD><TD>2,88</TD><TD>1,49</TD><TD>0,95</TD><TD>1</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD></TR><TR><TD>02.04.2007</TD><TD>Total</TD><TD>Over PIT @ HOU 8</TD><TD>Under PIT @ HOU 8</TD><TD>49</TD><TD>51</TD><TD>2,06</TD><TD>1,86</TD><TD>1,01</TD><TD>0,95</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD></TR><TR><TD>02.04.2007</TD><TD>ML</TD><TD>Tampa Bay(Scott Kazmir)</TD><TD>NY Yankees(Carl Pavano)</TD><TD>39</TD><TD>61</TD><TD>2,55</TD><TD>1,61</TD><TD>0,99</TD><TD>0,98</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD></TR><TR><TD>02.04.2007</TD><TD>Total</TD><TD>Over TB @ NYY 10</TD><TD>Under TB @ NYY 10</TD><TD>44,3</TD><TD>55,7</TD><TD>2,06</TD><TD>1,86</TD><TD>0,91</TD><TH>1,04</TH><TD>Pinnacle</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD></TR><TR><TD>02.04.2007</TD><TD>ML</TD><TD>Texas(Kevin Millwood)</TD><TD>Anaheim(John Lackey)</TD><TD>41</TD><TD>59</TD><TD>2,3</TD><TD>1,72</TD><TD>0,94</TD><TD>1,02</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD></TR><TR><TD>02.04.2007</TD><TD>Total</TD><TD>Over TEX @ ANA 8,5</TD><TD>Under TEX @ ANA 8,5</TD><TD>48,6</TD><TD>51,4</TD><TD>1,93</TD><TD>1,98</TD><TD>0,94</TD><TD>1,02</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD></TR><TR><TD>02.04.2007</TD><TD>ML</TD><TD>Toronto(Roy Halladay)</TD><TD>Detroit(Jeremy Bonderman)</TD><TD>49</TD><TD>51</TD><TD>1,92</TD><TD>2,01</TD><TD>0,94</TD><TD>1,03</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD></TR><TR><TD>02.04.2007</TD><TD>Total</TD><TD>Over TOR @ DET 8</TD><TD>Under TOR @ DET 8</TD><TD>45,7</TD><TD>54,3</TD><TD>1,97</TD><TD>1,93</TD><TD>0,9</TD><TH>1,05</TH><TD>Pinnacle</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD></TR></TABLE>

Florida - Washington:
-Washington ei ole niin huono mitä yleisesti mainostetaan, joukkueelta löytyy ihan ok bullpen ja jotenkin siedettävä lyöntipeli.
-Willis näyttää vieläkin olevan yliarvostettu, suoritustaso laskenut tasaisesti tuloskaskauden jälkeen
-Floridan bullpen on hyvin epävakaa, Julion ulkopuolella ei oikein löydy luotettavia ja kokeneita syöttäjiä

Cleveland - Chicago Sox:
-White Soxin syöttöpelin huonoutta kuvaa hyvin että Contreras on opening day starter, esimerkiksi yksi parhaista projektioista Pecota ennustaa 4,96 eraa. Clevelandin parantunutta ja liigan top4 lyöntipeliä vastaan voi käydä huonosti.

[MarkusM]

LA DODGERS(LOWE, D) @ MILWAUKEE(SHEETS, B) Total Number Of Strike Outs 0-10 5,75 20%, Centrebet

[Strat]

Olisko Markuksella heittää arviota PIT @ HOU tasan 8 juoksun todennäköisyydelle? Pientä middleä vois nimittäin kehitellä n. -2.5% surelossilla ajatuksella O8.0 & U8.5 ja tasan 8 juoksua....

Ilmeisesti pitäisi olla kannattava middle viritelmä (säännötkin samat syöttäjien & extra inningsien suhteen)?

[MarkusM]

Olisko Markuksella heittää arviota PIT @ HOU tasan 8 juoksun todennäköisyydelle? Pientä middleä vois nimittäin kehitellä n. -2.5% surelossilla ajatuksella O8.0 & U8.5 ja tasan 8 juoksua....

Jos en nyt ihan omiani katsonut koodista niin tasan 8 olisi ~10% tässä pelissä.

Ilmeisesti pitäisi olla kannattava middle viritelmä (säännötkin samat syöttäjien & extra inningsien suhteen)?

Ei pitäisi olla mitään eroja säännöissä ellei toisessa firmassa ole listattuja syöttäjiä ja toisessa ei, tuossakin tapauksessa eri lopputuloksen olisivat varsin epätodennäköisiä.

[Strat]

Kiitokset....