MLB 20.4.

[MarkusM]

<TABLE BORDER="1"><TR><TH>Pvm</TH><TH>Peli</TH><TH>Joukkue1</TH><TH>Joukkue2</TH><TH>Tn1</TH><TH>Tn2</TH><TH>Kerroin1</TH><TH>Kerroin2</TH><TH>OA1</TH><TH>OA2</TH><TH>-</TH><TH>-</TH></TR><TR><TD>20.04.2007</TD><TD>ML</TD><TD>Arizona(Doug Davis)</TD><TD>San Francisco(Russ Ortiz)</TD><TD>51</TD><TD>49</TD><TD>1,99</TD><TD>1,93</TD><TD>1,01</TD><TD>0,95</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD></TR><TR><TD>20.04.2007</TD><TD>ML</TD><TD>Atlanta(Tim Hudson)</TD><TD>NY Mets(Mike Pelfrey)</TD><TD>51</TD><TD>49</TD><TD>1,88</TD><TD>2,06</TD><TD>0,96</TD><TD>1,01</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD></TR><TR><TD>20.04.2007</TD><TD>ML</TD><TD>Chicago Sox(John Danks)</TD><TD>Detroit(Chad Durbin)</TD><TD>50</TD><TD>50</TD><TD>2,07</TD><TD>1,87</TD><TD>1,03</TD><TD>0,93</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD></TR><TR><TD>20.04.2007</TD><TD>ML</TD><TD>Cleveland(C.C. Sabathia)</TD><TD>Tampa Bay(Edwin Jackson)</TD><TD>62</TD><TD>38</TD><TD>1,56</TD><TD>2,71</TD><TD>0,97</TD><TD>1,03</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD></TR><TR><TD>20.04.2007</TD><TD>ML</TD><TD>Houston(Matt Albers)</TD><TD>Milwaukee(Ben Sheets)</TD><TD>38</TD><TD>62</TD><TD>2,59</TD><TD>1,6</TD><TD>0,98</TD><TD>0,99</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD></TR><TR><TD>20.04.2007</TD><TD>ML</TD><TD>Minnesota(Sidney Ponson)</TD><TD>Kansas City(Odalis Perez)</TD><TD>49</TD><TD>51</TD><TD>1,88</TD><TD>2,05</TD><TD>0,92</TD><TH>1,05</TH><TD>Pinnacle</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD></TR><TR><TD>20.04.2007</TD><TD>ML</TD><TD>NY Yankees(Andy Pettitte)</TD><TD>Boston(Curt Schilling)</TD><TD>50</TD><TD>50</TD><TD>2,03</TD><TD>1,9</TD><TD>1,01</TD><TD>0,95</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD></TR><TR><TD>20.04.2007</TD><TD>ML</TD><TD>Oakland(Joe Blanton)</TD><TD>Texas(Brandon McCarthy)</TD><TD>47</TD><TD>53</TD><TD>2,07</TD><TD>1,87</TD><TD>0,97</TD><TD>0,99</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD></TR><TR><TD>20.04.2007</TD><TD>ML</TD><TD>Philadelphia(Jon Lieber)</TD><TD>Cincinnati(Kyle Lohse)</TD><TD>49</TD><TD>51</TD><TD>2,17</TD><TD>1,8</TD><TH>1,06</TH><TD>0,92</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD></TR><TR><TD>20.04.2007</TD><TD>ML</TD><TD>Pittsburgh(Tony Armas)</TD><TD>Los Angeles(Randy Wolf)</TD><TD>38</TD><TD>62</TD><TD>2,65</TD><TD>1,58</TD><TD>1,01</TD><TD>0,98</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD></TR><TR><TD>20.04.2007</TD><TD>ML</TD><TD>San Diego(Chris Young)</TD><TD>Colorado(Josh Fogg)</TD><TD>55</TD><TD>45</TD><TD>1,91</TD><TD>2,02</TD><TH>1,05</TH><TD>0,91</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD></TR><TR><TD>20.04.2007</TD><TD>ML</TD><TD>Seattle(Miguel Batista)</TD><TD>Anaheim(Joe Saunders)</TD><TD>45</TD><TD>55</TD><TD>2,23</TD><TD>1,76</TD><TD>1</TD><TD>0,97</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD></TR><TR><TD>20.04.2007</TD><TD>ML</TD><TD>St. Louis(Braden Looper)</TD><TD>Chicago Cubs(Ted Lilly)</TD><TD>40</TD><TD>60</TD><TD>2,2</TD><TD>1,78</TD><TD>0,88</TD><TH>1,07</TH><TD>Pinnacle</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD></TR><TR><TD>20.04.2007</TD><TD>ML</TD><TD>Toronto(A.J. Burnett)</TD><TD>Baltimore(Daniel Cabrera)</TD><TD>45</TD><TD>55</TD><TD>2,11</TD><TD>1,84</TD><TD>0,95</TD><TD>1,01</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD></TR><TR><TD>20.04.2007</TD><TD>ML</TD><TD>Washington(Shawn Hill)</TD><TD>Florida(Scott Olsen)</TD><TD>42</TD><TD>58</TD><TD>2,5</TD><TD>1,63</TD><TH>1,05</TH><TD>0,95</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD><TD>Pinnacle</TD></TR></TABLE>

[naurulocci]

Hyvä kohde tälle päivälle on:

Florida(Olsen)-Washington(Hill) 2 43%, Pinnacle 2.50

Perustuu omiin tutkimuksiin. Viime kausina olen MLB:llä saanut 106-107% palautuksen. Kohteita kirjanpidossa vajaa 1000.

[Kerroinhaukka]

Pieni infoisku kiinnostuneille:

The Tampa Bay Devil Rays are dealing with a flu bug running through the team. After Wednesday’s 6-4 loss to the Baltimore Orioles, manager Joe Maddon told reporters his team looked sluggish.

“We did play like we had the flu today,” he told the St. Petersburg Times. “We did not play well.”

Third baseman Akinori Iwamura didn't start the game while other players, including catcher Josh Paul, played despite feeling ill.

Tampa Bay has Thursday off before starting their weekend series against the Cleveland Indians on Friday. C.C. Sabathia is scheduled to start for Cleveland while Edwin Jackson should get the nod for the Devil Rays.


C.C. Sabathia on muutenkin ollu kovassa vireessa talla kaudella eli olisikohan tassa pelin paikkaa Clevelandille vaikka kertoimet eivat ihan huipussa olekkaan?

[odds]

Kauden alku ollut todella surkea. Itse aloin ihmettelemään omia arvioita kun järjestäen tuli kotijoukkueille hurjia lukuja. Lopulta kiinnitin asiaan tarpeeksi huomiota ja tajusin että kyseessä pakko olla bugi.

Ilmeisesti on ollut niin että kotijoukkueelle on ollut 0-30% hyvää alkukauden aikana. Normaalisti arvaamalla pitäisi päästä 96-97% palautukseen, mutta nyt tänä keväänä ovat vierasjoukkueet jyllänneet. Pelaamalla pelatuissa 221 pelissä vierasjoukkueen puolesta on takaisin tullut 238 yksikköä. Kotijoukkueen puolesta palautunut on vain 199 yksikköä.

Uusi alku kaudelle 2007:

<table border="1"><tr><th>Date</th><th>Home team</th><th>Away team</th><th>prob 1</th><th>prob 2</th><th>odds 1</th><th>odds 2</th><th>value 1</th><th>value 2</th><th>stake</th><th>win</th></tr><tr><td>02:05</td><td><B>Boston Red Sox (C.Schilling)</B></td><td>New York Yankees (A.Pettitte)</td><td><B>67.57</B></td><td>32.43</td><td><B>1.90</B></td><td>2.03</td><td>1.28</td><td></td><td>5.26%</td><td>10.00</td></tr><tr><td>02:05</td><td>Detroit Tigers (C.Durbin)</td><td><B>Chicago White Sox (J.Danks)</B></td><td>46.20</td><td><B>53.80</B></td><td>1.95</td><td><B>1.97</B></td><td></td><td>1.06</td><td>1.03%</td><td>2.04</td></tr><tr><td>02:10</td><td><B>Tampa Bay Devil Rays (E.Jackson)</B></td><td>Cleveland Indians (C.Sabathia)</td><td><B>50.90</B></td><td>49.10</td><td><B>2.61</B></td><td>1.59</td><td>1.33</td><td></td><td>3.40%</td><td>8.88</td></tr><tr><td>03:05</td><td>Texas Rangers (B.McCarthy)</td><td><B>Oakland Athletics (J.Blanton)</B></td><td>45.70</td><td><B>54.30</B></td><td>1.87</td><td><B>2.07</B></td><td></td><td>1.12</td><td>1.93%</td><td>4.00</td></tr><tr><td>03:10</td><td><B>Kansas City Royals (O.Perez)</B></td><td>Minnesota Twins (S.Ponson)</td><td><B>60.53</B></td><td>39.47</td><td><B>2.04</B></td><td>1.89</td><td>1.23</td><td></td><td>3.76%</td><td>7.68</td></tr><tr><td>05:05</td><td><B>Los Angeles Angels (J.Saunders)</B></td><td>Seattle Mariners (M.Batista)</td><td><B>65.79</B></td><td>34.21</td><td><B>1.72</B></td><td>2.30</td><td>1.13</td><td></td><td>3.10%</td><td>5.34</td></tr><tr><td>02:05</td><td>Florida Marlins (S.Olsen)</td><td><B>Washington Nationals (S.Hill)</B></td><td>54.24</td><td><B>45.76</B></td><td>1.65</td><td><B>2.46</B></td><td></td><td>1.13</td><td>1.44%</td><td>3.53</td></tr><tr><td>05:15</td><td>San Francisco Giants (R.Ortiz)</td><td><B>Arizona Diamondbacks (D.Davis)</B></td><td>43.52</td><td><B>56.48</B></td><td>1.88</td><td><B>2.05</B></td><td></td><td>1.16</td><td>2.51%</td><td>5.14</td></tr><tr><td>05:40</td><td>Los Angeles Dodgers (R.Wolf)</td><td><B>Pittsburgh Pirates (T.ArmasJr)</B></td><td>49.18</td><td><B>50.82</B></td><td>1.56</td><td><B>2.72</B></td><td></td><td>1.38</td><td>3.71%</td><td>10.08</td></tr></table><B>Kokonaispanos 26.1393</B><table border="1"><tr><th>Date</th><th>Home team</th><th>Away team</th><th>total</th><th>prob over</th><th>prob under</th><th>runs av.</th></tr><tr><td>02:05</td><td>Baltimore Orioles (D.Cabrera)</td><td>Toronto Blue Jays (A.Burnett)</td><td>8.5</td><td>50.70</td><td></td><td>9.20874</td></tr><tr><td>02:05</td><td>Boston Red Sox (C.Schilling)</td><td>New York Yankees (A.Pettitte)</td><td>9.0</td><td></td><td>50.29</td><td>10.0807</td></tr><tr><td>02:05</td><td>Detroit Tigers (C.Durbin)</td><td>Chicago White Sox (J.Danks)</td><td>9.5</td><td></td><td><B>60.17</B></td><td>8.94704</td></tr><tr><td>02:10</td><td>Tampa Bay Devil Rays (E.Jackson)</td><td>Cleveland Indians (C.Sabathia)</td><td>9.5</td><td><B>61.84</B></td><td></td><td>10.8318</td></tr><tr><td>03:05</td><td>Texas Rangers (B.McCarthy)</td><td>Oakland Athletics (J.Blanton)</td><td>9.5</td><td><B>67.68</B></td><td></td><td>12.0374</td></tr><tr><td>03:10</td><td>Kansas City Royals (O.Perez)</td><td>Minnesota Twins (S.Ponson)</td><td>10.5</td><td>51.43</td><td></td><td>11.1244</td></tr><tr><td>05:05</td><td>Los Angeles Angels (J.Saunders)</td><td>Seattle Mariners (M.Batista)</td><td>8.5</td><td></td><td><B>57.43</B></td><td>8.20245</td></tr><tr><td>05:05</td><td>Chicago Cubs (T.Lilly)</td><td>St. Louis Cardinals (B.Looper)</td><td>8.0</td><td>52.99</td><td></td><td>9.03822</td></tr><tr><td>02:05</td><td>Florida Marlins (S.Olsen)</td><td>Washington Nationals (S.Hill)</td><td>8.5</td><td><B>55.56</B></td><td></td><td>9.58758</td></tr><tr><td>02:10</td><td>New York Mets (M.Pelfrey)</td><td>Atlanta Braves (T.Hudson)</td><td>8.5</td><td>50.96</td><td></td><td>8.93334</td></tr><tr><td>02:10</td><td>Cincinnati Reds (K.Lohse)</td><td>Philadelphia Phillies (J.Lieber)</td><td>9.5</td><td><B>55.15</B></td><td></td><td>10.7328</td></tr><tr><td>03:05</td><td>Milwaukee Brewers (B.Sheets)</td><td>Houston Astros (M.Albers)</td><td>8.5</td><td>54.68</td><td></td><td>9.23376</td></tr><tr><td>04:05</td><td>Colorado Rockies (J.Fogg)</td><td>San Diego Padres (C.Young)</td><td>9.5</td><td><B>66.00</B></td><td></td><td>12.0723</td></tr><tr><td>05:15</td><td>San Francisco Giants (R.Ortiz)</td><td>Arizona Diamondbacks (D.Davis)</td><td>9.0</td><td></td><td>54.29</td><td>9.21952</td></tr><tr><td>05:40</td><td>Los Angeles Dodgers (R.Wolf)</td><td>Pittsburgh Pirates (T.ArmasJr)</td><td>8.5</td><td><B>59.63</B></td><td></td><td>10.037</td></tr></table>Total runs 149.287 (in 15 games)