Mäkiviikko

[Harjakone]

Expekt voittaja
Roar Ljøkelsøy 7.25

Mitäs mieltä olette?
Mies johtaa maailmancupia ja näytöt viime kisoista on hyviä.

Veikkaaja-lehden mukaan Jens Weissflog pitää häntä suosikkina.
Kai Ljøkelsøylle voi antaa n. 18-20 %.

[R]

Toi on ehottomasti pelattava pois! Kyllä vähintään 15% voi antaa (raja 6,67)

[Xavi]

Obertsdorf:
Ljökelsöy - Pettersen 2 1.90 (nordic) (3/10)
Höllwarth - Uhrmann 2 2.00 (nordic) (3/10)
Romören - Lindström 2 2.20 (nordic) (1/10)

Pettersen has been very good in this hill so far. Trainings 119.5 and 126 metres and qualification 134. Ljökelsöy has jumped 107, 123 and 117 and so Pettersen has been clearly better in all rounds. Both have been in good form in competitions lately, but I suppose Pettersen to be about 55% favourite in this hill.

Uhrmann so far 131, 121.5 and 122.5, Höllwarth 124.5, 109 and 123. This has also been very even pair in this season, but results in this hill make Uhrmann a slight favourite (52-53%).

Romören 117.5, 126 and 115.5, Lindström 114.5, 119.5 and 120. Very even couple in my opinion. Romören might be a slight favourite, but not over 55%.

4-Hill tournament:
Kasai - Uhrmann 2 1.85 (expekt) (3/10)
Kiuru - Lindström 1 2.05 (expekt) (4/10)
Hannawald - Malysz 2 2.45 (expekt) (1/10)

Kasai hasn´t been good in this tournament in last years (23. 2003 and 31. 2002) compared to Uhrmann (18. 2003 and 22. 2002). Uhrmann has also been better in all jumps in Oberstdorf so far, so I don´t see any reason why Kasai should win Uhrmann this year...

Kiuru is in great form right now. Lindström has good and bad days and so I believe Kiuru has better chances (near to 55%) in total points.

Hannawald isn´t that good right now.

One more for Ober...
Kofler - Ingebrigtsen - Mechler 1 2.30 (expekt) (1/10)

Kofler has been best of these three in jumps so far and he also seems to be in best form so I can give about 45% for him in this trio.

I must also bet for someone to win whole tournament... My favourite is of course Ahonen (what else can you expect... ) but I think that also Ljökelsöy, Malysz and Pettersen have good possibilities.

So I put small bets for all these guys, Ljökelsöy 7.00 (nordic), Malysz 7.75 (expekt) and Pettersen 12.50 (expekt).


PS. If you want a little surewin, so Höllwarth gets 2.05 against Uhrmann (only Ober) in expekt.

[CEO]

unille:
benkovic - AMMANN 2.3

Benkovic sai oberissa aikaiseksi yhden hienon hypyn ja senkin hyvään tuulirakoon muuten esitys oli tasapaksua. Ammannin hyppy näyttää pitkästä aikaa hyvältä. Luotetaan siihen että on/off hyppääjän on-vaihde saa jatkoa Garmischissa.

[CEO]

Paffilla Garmischin voittajaveto auki vaikka harjoitukset käynnissä.
Ahonen 7x!
Ensimmäisellä harjoituskierroksella porukan ykkönen 117,5m. vrt. Pettersen 114,5m.
Mäki sopii ja kunto hyvä joten pelin paikka, vaikkakin Pettersen on kovassa iskussa.

[parre]

CB:llä Höllwarth @ 11 muilla kerroin 5-7

[Xavi]

Garmisch:
Malysz - Ljökelsöy 1 2.30 (nordic) (3/10)
Winner Ahonen 2.75 (nordic/expekt) (2/10)

Malysz 104, 97 and 110.5 metres so far, Ljökelsöy 108.5, 106 and 114. So Norwegian has been better in all rounds but both have jumped clearly under their real level. Malysz was 2nd last year and Ljökelsöy 4th, so both probably like this hill. I consider this as a 50-50 situation and put my money on Malysz.

Ahonen has lot to show after first competition. He has been clearly best jumper so far and he was exellent also last year in this hill (he only fall his long jump).

[JAH]

CB tarjoaa Morgensternista 17 kun muilla 10-11.