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France Ligue2 2016 - 2016

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France Ligue2 2016 - 2016

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Le Havre - Clermont Foot 21/08

Clermont have featured heavily in my notes this season and that is kind of a theme for today, anyway, my preview of their home game with Nimes last week went a lot like this ......

"Clermont are coming off back to back league draws to start their season and a 3-1 road win at Valenciennes in midweek when I wrote .....

These two are unbeaten across two Ligue 2 games, I would perhaps expect the visitors to be perhaps more interested in the cup, with Valenciennes looking for a return to the top flight they left in 2014 and Clermont are very tough to beat at present, carrying over there fine form from the end of last season.....Clermont enjoyed a very strong finish and collected 20 points ( 2.0 per game) over their final ten matches and hauled themselves up into mid table safety after looking in trouble, finally finishing as close to Nancy in 5th as they were to the drop zone.

However, the visitors are without central defender Baptiste Martin, midfielder Farid Boulaya and their two holding players in Cedric Goncalves and veteran Eugene Ekobo and the defensive spine looks vulnerable this evening. Hosts are without winger Sigamary Diarra and are resting Sekou Baradji their senior defensive midfielder , with Lucas Tousart injured in that position and I assume, the trip to Metz on Friday in mind. I expect both teams to play with a little less intensity and again that we will see goals.

Valenciennes pushed the self destruct button in that game, being reduced to nine men inside 30 minutes, but it kept the run going for Clermont and they would not have expended too much energy there over the final hour when the match turned basically into a training session. The mood in their camp will be bouyant and in stark contrast to that on the Nimes team bus, ahead of the new season I discussed their problems.....

Over the final 10 starts (of last season), Nimes were far and away the poorest performer with just 5 points, but there were reasons for that, in that they were told they would not be promoted having forced themselves into top 3 contention and they were likely to be relegated, due to "match fixing" charges, this has now been reduced to an eight point penalty with which they will start the season, but even that is subject to appeal.

They still have the 8 point deduction and it has been proving a heavy load to carry, with Nimes continuing their poor form from last season and being scoreless through three league and cup starts, including friendlies,they are without a win in 15 starts, have failed to score in eight of those and that included a 1-0 home defeat to Clermont four months ago, tonight's opponent did the double over Nimes last season, also winning this fixture 3-0, with the match over as a contest early, 2-0 at the break and Clermont should have had at least two before they scored the first, it was an incredibly dominant showing over the opening 30-35 minutes, one of the most emphatic I saw in Ligue 2 last season and I lost count of the number of times that Clermont carved Nimes open."

They won that 1-0 which continues their very solid start to the campaign and this is a team who have been playing really well since mid March.

Le Havre, along with Nancy were the best performers over the second half of last season and already have two wins to their name this time round, however, they are coming off a 3-0 loss at Paris FC last week and that was on the back of a 2-1 home midweek cup defeat to a third tier team and suddenly, the defensive alarm bells are ringing. They might have Fabien Farnolle in goal tonight , which might help, but he has not played a Ligue 2 start in over 15 months (and only one competitive game in the interim) when he was with.......Clermont ! Bringing in a new keeper is always tricky, that will go doubly so with starting right back Issam Chebake out , they have won just twice in 12 when he plays 25 minutes or less, conceding 1.25 goals per game (otherwise 0.89pg). I am tempted by Clermont at circa 2.51 with the draw no bet option and have mulled this over for a looooooooong time, but ultimately decided that I prefer .............

Le Havre : Farnolle, Milosavljevic - Puel, Touré, Mombris, Cambon, Fortes, Mendy - Bonnet, Fontaine, Lekhal, Gamboa, Louiserre - Le Bihan, Mendes, Mousset.

Clermont : Jeannin, Caillard - Avinel, Bockhorni, Djellabi, Rivieyran, Salze - Agounon, Boulaya, Diogo, Ekobo, Espinosa, Genest, Jobello - Diedhiou, Dugimont.


over 2 goals 1.96 asian line/Sportmarket.

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Dijon- Creteil 28/08/2015


These two played out a 90 minute 3-3 draw here in Dijon in the cup just 17 days ago, with the hosts progressing on penalties. That was not really against the grain when these two clubs meet and the previous two league meeting here had gone "over"and Dijon have scored five in two visits to Creteil. The hosts have scored two goals in each of two home starts since, so are clearly finding goals fairly easy to come by and they will be pleased with back to back clean sheets in those too, but the last two times they kept teams out for 180 minutes, they played Creteil at home next and we alreday know what happened in those and we can see a hat-trick completed today. The vistors have conceded in all five competitive matches this season, two or more in two of the last three and whilst their only win was a 2-1 home defeat of Bourg en Bresse Peronnas ( where they really rode their luck and could have easily lost), they have managed to score in every start and I expect both teams on the scoresheet today. Really adventurous looking home squad and Julio Tavares, a player we discuss regularly, will be looking to score against Creteil for the third match running. This could get fiesty, there has been a red card in the last three meetings and SEVEN penalties in the last four, at least one in each. Betfair Sportsbook offer 4.20 for a spot kick to be awarded tonight, which looks reasonable if that is your thing.

Dijon : Basilio, Reynet - Bamba, Bernard, Jullien, Varrault - Amalfitano, Benet, Gastien, Marié, Ngoyi, Sammaritano - Bela, Diony, Rivière, Tavares, Thiam.


Créteil : Kerboriou, Merville - Augusto, Di Bartolomeo, Fofana, Hérelle, Ilunga, Konongo, Montaroup - Dabo, Dias, Lafon, Lesage, Loriot, Mollet - Andriatsima Clémence.


over 2.5 goals 2.19 asian line/Sportmarket.

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France Ligue2 Tours - Bourg Peronnas


Tours have named a very offensive looking line up today and having scored ten in their last five starts in all competitions, it is hard to see them coming up short today against a viistors who have played some wide open encounters already, especially on the road. Tours will definitely be a little more suspect defensively this evening with left back Samuel Bouhours and deep lying midfielder Haris Belkebla both sidelined. The pair are ever present this season and Bouhours missed just one start last season ( a 2-1 defeat) and whilst both will be missed, the loss of him could be huge.

I was very doubtful about the visitors chances of staying in Ligue 2 early seaon, but have spoken several times since about them having a "little something" , team spirit is good and they battle all the way and are now unbeaten in five, their last defeat was away to Creteil in a match they dominated, so they should not be underestimated and certainly will not be by me. However, they have conceded 5 in three road games and both scored and conceded in 6 of 7 competitive starts and they are not going to keep too many clean sheets. So both look vulnerable defensively and we know that there will be space for each to exploit, especially with Tours naming a very adventurous looking squad. I couldn't oppose the hosts as they have served us so well, but likewise feel it will be very difficult for them to keep the visitors out for 90 minutes.............. goals for me.

Tours : Kamara, Westberg, Cillard, Gradit, Louvion, Miguel, Milosevic,Agouazi, Berenguer, Bergougnoux, Khaoui, Maouche, Santamaria, Bosetti, Kouakou, Malfleury, Miracoli, Tandia.

Bourg-en-Bresse : Callamand, Fabri, Alphonse, Perradin, Goyon, Diompy, Berthomier, Boussaha, N'Simba, Ogier, Sane, Nirlo, Dimitriou, Dembele, Damour, Ba.


over 2.5 goals 2.35 asian line/Sportmarket.

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France Ligue2 Tours- Creteil 22.09


We should expect goals in this midweek round and this is a fixture which normally provides them. Tours scored eight in the two meetings last season, Creteil have scored in the last five, including two + in three of four and the last four h2h games have gone "over", averaging 4.25 goals. Tours have conceded in six of their last seven starts, with only toothless Sochaux coming up short and have fallen behind in their last three, but took points from two of those games, so a nasty habit, but they are resilient and heads do not drop when they concede.

You are never quite sure what you will get from them and despite losing 1-0 at home to Valenciennes on Friday, Creteil are happy, or rather will get sucked into playing a very open style if opponents do likewise and are prepared to go toe to toe, it is in their DNA and these two teams, despite having slightly more defensive minded coaches now, cannot help themselves, one goal will lead to 3-4...

Tours : Kamara, Westberg - Bouhours, Cillard, Gradit, Louvion, Milosevic - Agouazi, Bergougnoux, Khaoui, Maouche, Raveloson, Santamaria - Bosetti, Kouakou, Malfleury, Miracoli, Tandia.

Créteil : Kerboriou, Merville - Di Bartolomeo, Diedhiou, Esor, Hérelle, Konongo, Mahon de Monaghan - Augusto, Benaniba, Lesage, Mollet, Montaroup - Andriatsima, Dabo, Sackho.

over 2.5 goals 2.11 asian line/Sportmarket.

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Ligue 2 Nancy - Ajaccio 2.10

Breakthrough win for Ajaccio last round (1-0 vs Auxerre) and it surely provided a massive confidence boost and we get a big price on them to follow up this evening. Nancy are expected to be a big player at this level , but they have not won in four and have dropped points at home to Niort (similar level to Ajaccio) and Auxerre (defeat) in that sequence and goals are proving hard to come by for the home side. They are also without suspended defensive midfielder Diallo Guidileye and with Coulibaly and Aït Bennasser also sidelined, that leaves them weakened across the middle and especially short of options in the holding role. This is my potential upset of the day and I will probably try and take a little on the visitors to win at circa 7.0-7.5 which seems too big , but for my "official bet............... Ajaccio +0.75 at 2.17 at Sportmarket

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France Ligue2 Brest - Valenciennes

Valenciennes remain without Roudet and Kabore, they do get Ciss and Diarra back, but that is immediately offset by the loss of Edouard Butin and Da Costa and their three goals will be missed amongst a team who have scored just twice in six starts and none at all in almost 400 minutes of football . Confidence is at a very low ebb and Brest is never an easy place to come looking to restore it. Brest will be buoyed by two goals and a cleansheet at Creteil last Friday and whilst that had much to do with their opponents injury woes, they will take heart from that and also that they hit top form at this stage of last season, going 14 games unbeaten in the build up to Christmas, keeping 11 clean sheets. Only change for them from last week is the absence of fringe forward Alexandre Alphonse, which is not an issue. They travel to leaders Dijon next week and will be very focused on the three points today to stay in touch with the top three and take as much pressure as possible off the trip to Burgundy.

Brest: Hartock, Léon - Belaud, Falette, Brillault, Lorenzi, Keïta - Pelé, Sankoh, Jacob, Grougi, Battocchio, Tié Bi - Koubemba, Sea, Joseph-Monrose, Adnane.

Valenciennes: Charruau, Perquis - Abdelhamid, Aloé, Ciss, Nery, Nestor - Baradji, Diarra, Enza-Yamissi, Fulgini, Mbenza, Tameze - Ndao, Nguette, Slidja.

Brest -0.75 ball 2.25 asian line/Sportmarket.

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France Ligue2 Creteil - Nimes 30.10

It will surprise few regular readers that i expect to see goals in this fixture. We have discussed Creteil and their approach to games so many times in recent seasons and a bit of a blip last year aside, they play as open a style as you could ever wish to see, certainly in Ligue 2 terms.

Last round Creteil won 2-1 and landed the "over" bet and also took the big odds win, if anyone chose to go down that route . Those points got them back up to within four of the promotion spots and they will surely be looking for a maximum return today. Nimes are bottom of the table and cast adrift due to their eight point deduction and draw after draw (at home) is not going to help, we have spoken many time previously about them being far more adventurous than their reputation suggets and they will go toe to toe with any opponent who is willing to play similarly, step forward Creteil ! Nimes have both scored and conceded in their last five starts and two goals in recent outings again Nancy and Metz (road) show that they can put up goals against the better teams in this league. At least one goal for both and I expect each to press hard for a winner.

Créteil : Kerboriou, Merville - Di Bartolomeo, Diedhiou, Hérelle, Ilunga - Augusto, Benaniba, Bourgeois, Dias, Lafon, Lesage, Mollet, Sangaré - Andriatsima, Dabo.

Nîmes : Michel, Gallon - Cordoval, Barrillon, Elie, Harek, Valls, Guihoata, Hermach, Savanier, Lacourt, Maoulida, Koura, Mounié, Tchenkoua, Chamed.

over 2.5 goals 2.11 asian line/Sportmarket.

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France Ligue2 Clermont - Creteil

This will surprise few of you ....... I am sticking with the "over" in a Creteil game. Creteil lost 2-1 last week , that meant 8 "overs" in 10 starts, with all those games averaging 3.1 goals with gung-ho Creteil only keeping a clean sheet in one and either scoring or conceding twice in nine. Clermont have also been involved in some free scoring games, with their last ten starts producing a goal more (32), with seven "overs" and both teams scoing in nine. As a starting point it doesn't get much better than that and when we add into the mix how Creteil play, meaning we know that those numbers are not a blip, but what we should expect , there remains value in the quote for this to again produce three or more goals.

Hosts are weakened on the right flank today by injury and suspension, Creteil are missing central defender Vincent DI Bartolomeo, both to score looks a given and it is hard to see either being happy with just that.......

Clermont : Jeannin, Caillard - Avinel, Djellabi, Martin, Rivieyran, Salze - Boulaya, Ekobo, Espinosa, Genest, Hunou, Jobello, Reale - F.Diedhiou, Dugimont, Rivas.

Créteil : Kerboriou, Merville - Diedhiou, Esor, Hérelle, Ilunga, Mahon de Monaghan - Augusto, Bourgeois, Lafon, Loriot, Lesage, Mollet, Sangaré - Andriatsima, Dabo.

over 2.75 goals 2.38 asian line/Sportmarket.

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France Ligue2 Creteil - Nancy

We have discussed Creteil's style of play many times in recent seasons and much of that is covered in my preview of their game with Nimes at the end of last month which is reproduced below the "good luck" sign off. That finished in a 2-1 win for Nimes, Creteil have had 8 "overs" in 11 starts, conceded in ten, with all matches in that sequence averaging 2.91 goals and have either scored or conceded twice in nine .They come into this match on the back of two defeats and are looking to get back into the promotion race, but do not look strong enough a group for that and I suspect long term ambition remain mid table safety and getting to the required 42-45 points, that will guarantee survival, as soon as possible. They are missing 4-5 starters tonight and are short on the flanks, especially the left, with Augusto, Diedhiou, Konogo, Dabo, Clemence and Sangaré all absent and protection for the full backs will be an issue.

Nancy have won five of their last six starts in all competitions and having a much stronger start to this season than in recent campaigns, will be very pleased with the way things have gone and probably consider themselves title favourites. They have very few injury problems and are close to full strength, but head coach Pablo Correa said that if any player came to him and said he did not feel ready to play, he would be happy with that and view it as the player showing "strength and not weakness" and it should be remembered that this is being played in the suburbs of Paris, anyway, at present it looks like no one has stepped forward to opt out. Correa did say his team had prepared as normal and his coaching staff had done the same level of analysis (more, as there was a break) as usual.

Also, and I think this is key, Nancy have actually played since the attacks last Friday,playing a friendly in Alsace on Saturday (strong starting 11, with maybe 8 from that game set to start this evening), so unlike almost every other French team, they have got over the psychological hurdle of getting back to business, which could hand them a massive edge this evening. I do feel they will win and have decided to include them giving up the bigger handicap, in a split stake bet.

Créteil : Kerboriou, Merville, Di Bartolomeo Esor, Hérelle, Ilunga, Mahon de Monaghan, Dias, Lafon, Loriot, Lesage, Mollet, Montaroup, Andriatsima, Bourgeois, Sackho.

Nancy : Ndy Assembe, Samba, Cétout, Cuffaut, Chrétien, Muratori, Lenglet, Badila, Walter, Guidileye, Aït Bennasser, Iglesias, Puyo, Dalé, Lusamba, Hadji, Robic, Busin.


Nancy -0.75 ball 2.36 asian line/Sportmarket.

over 2.5 goals 2.33 asian line/sportmarket.

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France Ligue2 Bourg en Bresse Peronnas 01- Chamois Niortais

BEBP played out an incredibly open game at Metz on Friday, which I discussed in today's first preview, they could/perhaps should have scored 2-3 goals themselves , they had put four past Paris in their previous start and only leaders Dijon have scored more goals and the hosts clearly pose a big offensive threat. However, at the other end of the pitch ............oh dear ! They have conceded a league high 29 goals and it is so easy to see why, five could so easily have been 7-8 versus Metz and some of their defensive play there was shambolic and if poor defending was a crime the entire backline would have been in court this week !

It will have been difficult to sort all those issues out with the quick turnaround, but I doubt they want to change too much in any case and seen happy with their open, free and easy ways and they are certainly fun to watch ! I have mentioned many times that Niort play a more open style themselves than they are usually given credit for and if teams open up and are prepared to go toe to toe with them, they will usually follow suit, we have not seen too much of that approach from them on the road this season, but they have scored in five of their last six away starts and all of those came against teams set up more defensively than BEBP and the visitors can play their part in an open encounter. Both to score seems almost a given, odds of 1.83 + for that are pretty good, but below my personal "minimum" and I much prefer goals

Bourg-en-Bresse : Callamand, Fabri - Alphonse, Perradin, Berthomier, Boujedra, Boussaha, N'Simba, Sane, Nirlo, Traore, Dimitriou, Ogier, Dembele, Damour, Ba.

Niort : Delecroix, Allagbe - Lahaye, Sans, Choplin, Kiki, Bong - Koukou, Roye, Djigla, Rocheteau, Tigroudja, Sambia - Dona Ndoh, Bassock, Koné.

over 2.5 goals 2.21 asian line/Sportmarket

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